Cup of News – May 10, 2017
Macron’s New France and Avoiding the Black Swan Hat Trick, Matthew Brewer, Ramen IR
France did not complete the populist hat trick of election victories following Brexit and Donald Trump’s victory. Their young new centrist president has lofty goals for the European project, but his first great hurdle is building a government in a complicated and fractured French political environment.
The Nightmare Scenario: Trump Fires Comey, the One Man Who Would Stand Up to Him, Benjamin Wittes and Susan Hennessey, Lawfare.
With the firing of James Comey as the director of the FBI, there are far more questions than answers about what happens to the ongoing investigation into potential ties between President Trump’s campaign and Russian intelligence. Such events beg the question, is the United States in a constitutional crisis?
Hybrid warfare is in vogue with national security experts, especially with Russia’s overt application of asymmetrical warfare several times over in the previous year. However, this practice is deeply ingrained in the Russian war of war and has been put to practice countless times over the centuries. The authors state the West should focus on its vulnerabilities, and less “overthinking what to call Russia’s strategy”
One of the greatest challenges for international organizations like the IMF and the World Bank is to build a better system of international development. These authors argue for a more market-driven approach where aid gives dividends back to those who give it. The authors write, “By combining aid with trade and investment, donor and recipient countries alike can benefit.”
With the upcoming presidential election in Iran, the topic of ‘resistance’ is once again salient in their domestic political dialogue. The supreme leader has named the year on of the “resistance economy” where he does not want the country to be dependent on the West. This is somewhat disparate with the actions of the current president. Ms. Vakil writes “For [President Rouhani], the concept of resistance contradicts his agenda of an economically and regionally integrated Iran.”